When it was announced that Wes Welker would not be playing last night against the Chargers, you probably thought that would mean more targets and hopefully catches for Demaryius Thomas, Eric Decker and Julius Thomas. Who knew Andre Caldwell would step right into Welker’s spot and catch 6 passes for 59 yards and 2 TD’s (also lead the team in targets with 10). If you are part of the 0.3% who selected Caldwell for your DraftKings team, pat yourself on the back and enjoy the 23.9 points. That’s not too shabby for a guy that only took up $3,000 of your salary cap.
If you decided to wait for Sunday, here is a link to my Week 15 wide receivers report. It includes a breakdown of each player’s matchup and fantasy point predictions. While it is geared toward the DraftKings scoring system, it will be helpful regardless of which site you play your daily games at. To give you an idea of what my player reports are like, here is my analysis of a few players:
A.J. Green - Green has been steady in his last 2 games (11/155 and 2 TD’s)/His targets have fallen in his last 3 games (20 total)/In Week 2, A.J. had 6 catches for 41 yards against the Steelers/Last year, Green had 10 catches for 116 yards in his game in Pittsburgh/The Steelers top CB heading into 2013, Ike Taylor, has allowed the most receiving yards in the league (853) and 6 TD’s/Green has a matchup with more upside than it appears.
Marques Colston - Colston was the highest scoring WR in the league last week/He had a season high 9 catches for 125 yards and 2 TD’s/Marques has 312 receiving yards in his last 3 home starts, but only has 67 yards in his last 2 road games and hasn’t scored away from home this season/The Rams #1 CB Trumaine Jenkins is allowing WR’s to catch 66.7% of their passes and he has allowed 6 TD’s/St. Louis has a solid pass rush, but Brees will eat up a weak CB/Possible.
Justin Hunter - Hunter has been a very good value play in 2 of the last 3 weeks/He has two 100-yard receiving games and has 4 TD’s on his 18 catches this season/Last week, Tennessee used 3 WR’s for almost the whole game and he had full time snaps/He is an exciting young player with big play ability and enough size to be a factor at the goal line/His upside may lead him to drawing Patrick Peterson in coverage/I like his progression, but he may disappear in this game.
Alshon Jeffery - Jeffery has 17 catches for 335 yards and 3 TD’s in his last 2 games against 2 weak pass defenses/He is averaging 9.7 targets per game and is on a pace for 92 catches for 1446 yards and 7 TD’s/The Browns have weakness at their 2nd CB position, so Jeffery has another upside matchup.
Josh Gordon - Gordon has had the best 4 game run by a WR in NFL history (36/774 yards and 5 TD’s)/His success is going to win many fantasy players big $$$ this football season/He has blown past Calvin over the last month and may end up being the #1 scoring WR this season despite missing 2 games/Josh is on a pace for 87 catches for 1723 yards and 10 TD’s/This week, he will be matched up with CB Tim Jennings (51.4% completion rate and 3 TD’s)/As good as Gordon has been, his success at this level can’t continue/His salary is top shelf, so he’ll need 30+ points to have any value.